Nifty & Bank Nifty Post Market Analysis for 18 July 2025 and Trading Strategy for 21 July
Key Takeaways
- Nifty hit a sell trigger at ₹25,133.85 and closed below TGT3, showing bearish continuation.
- Bank Nifty also triggered a sell at ₹56,952.55, achieving all 3 targets with a max profit of 628.55 points.
- Bearish pressure intensified as both indices broke critical supports.
- Strong sector rotation observed from financials to FMCG and Pharma.
Price Action Breakdown
Nifty 50 – Post Market Summary
Nifty opened weak and continued its downward trend post sell signal from ₹25,133.85. All three downside targets were hit with ease, ending the day near the lower band of support. Weak price structure below cloud resistance and failure to hold ₹25,000 confirm bearish dominance.
Bank Nifty – Post Market Summary
Bank Nifty mirrored Nifty’s pattern, triggering a sell at ₹56,952.55. With a max P/L of 628.55 points, the bearish structure was validated by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Bank Nifty closed around ₹56,253.70, just above TGT3 at ₹56,355. The index is now testing critical support zones.
Global Market and Macro Updates
- US indices ended mixed ahead of Fed’s upcoming meeting. [Reuters]
- Crude oil prices remain volatile due to Middle East tensions. [FXStreet]
- RBI hints at no immediate rate cuts due to inflation concerns. [Moneycontrol]
- FII net sellers; DII inflows continued for the fifth consecutive session.
Technical Indicator Table
| Index | RSI (14) | India VIX | Put-Call Ratio (PCR) | Trend Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 41.23 | 12.84 | 0.88 | Bearish |
| Bank Nifty | 39.75 | 13.12 | 0.91 | Bearish |
Sector Performance Table
| Sector | Performance | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| IT | -0.74% | Weak |
| Banking | -1.12% | Bearish |
| FMCG | +0.35% | Strong |
| Pharma | +0.41% | Strong |
| Auto | -0.22% | Neutral |
Trading Strategy for 21/07/25 (Intraday + Swing)
🔹 Intraday Strategy
- Follow the Free Buy-Sell Chart for real-time entries.
- Nifty: Below ₹24,965.55, short with TGTs ₹25,018 → ₹24,954 → ₹24,900. Keep SL at ₹25,137.
- Bank Nifty: Stay short below ₹56,355 with targets at ₹56,253 → ₹56,200. SL at ₹56,966.
- Watch opening 15-minute candle range; breakout or breakdown will guide direction.
🔹 Swing Strategy
- Bearish bias continues unless Nifty closes above ₹25,137 or Bank Nifty above ₹56,966.
- Hold short positions with trailing stop loss.
- Consider partial profit booking near TGT2; trail SL aggressively.
Key Levels Table
| Index | Support 1 | Support 2 | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty | 24,954 | 24,900 | 25,018 | 25,137 |
| Bank Nifty | 56,253 | 56,200 | 56,568 | 56,966 |
Final Thoughts
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have resumed downward trends, breaking key support levels. Macro uncertainty, weak global cues, and low PCR levels point to cautious trading ahead. Monitor volatility and sector rotation before taking large positions. Use our custom TradingView indicator for precision-based entries and exits. Check it out here: IntradayAFL TradingView Script.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade at your own risk.
